During the 2016 campaign season we witnessed the political class, the establishment Republican and Democratic politicians, the liberal media and the majority of polling organizations, consistently ignore the growing support Donald Trump was receiving from heartland states.
We saw liberal media pundits attempt to explain to their audience why people supported Donald Trump, without bothering to actually ask those same people. Hillary Clinton and the media labeled them racist, sexist, Islamophobic, etc, etc..... aka "deplorables." NeverTrump Republicans climbed up on their high horse to talk down to those that dared go against what they were being told to do by their "betters."
We saw media organizations produce poll after poll claiming that Hillary Clinton was a shoe in, right up until the general election night, when Trump won.
We saw establishment Republicans declare the Trump candidacy dead in the water with every new outrage, while establishment Democrats laughed at any suggestion that Clinton would lose.
Across the board they got it wrong, but the reason they got it so wrong was because they completely ignored anything they didn't want to "see." Refused to report on anything that didn't fit their narrative. Forgot that human beings can be contrary beings and when informed in a high and mighty tone that "you can't do that," many times, they respond with "wanna bet?"
After the election liberals declared their #resistance, the liberal media became the opposition party after crying on-air, Republican establishment figures started working to obstruct, and NeverTrumpers decried those heathens that elected Donald Trump.
The bottom line for 2016, was everyone but Donald Trump ignored the forgotten and the newly awakened.
Heading into the 2018 mid-terms, they are all making the same mistakes they made in 2016.
MIDTERM ELECTIONS - HISTORICAL NUMBERS
For Democrats, taking control of the House of Representatives should have been a slam dunk, historically speaking, but once again, whole groups of people are being completely ignored by those that cannot acknowledge anything they don't want to see.
Since the advent of the current two-party system (39 midterm elections) we've averaged the President's party losing 4 Senate seats and 30 seats in the House. If that happens this year Democrats would retake control of both chambers of Congress. Democrats only need to flip two Senate seats to retake control and they need 24 seats in the House. History is on the side of the Democrats reclaiming control going into this cycle.
As shown above the only gains in House seats for a first term President's party was in 1934, and then in 2002 for Bush, after 9/11.
IGNORING THE FORGOTTEN AND THE NEWLY AWAKENED
With the president's approval numbers rising, unemployment falling to an 18 year low, black unemployment plunging to historical lows, Hispanic unemployment falling to the lowest numbers in a decade, the economy is looking good, consumer confidence has hit a 17 year high, and the tax cuts recently passed are growing in popularity, especially among those that see a little more each week in their take-home pay, we see another "deplorable" phenomenon rising across the Internet.
All segments of society that every election year politicians talk about helping, then do nothing about, are now starting to notice they have not been forgotten this time around.
These are people that the media talking heads, Democratic politicians and pollsters are once again forgetting and/or ignoring.
I have been observing social media interactions and have been watching this phenomenon grow exponentially.
Prominent African Americans, such as Larry Elder, Sheriff David Clark and many, many others are speaking out vocally for president Trump and where younger African Americans are showing up in droves wearing MAGA hats, speaking out, with a push from others to "free themselves" and support those helping them rather than those they have been taught they should be supporting. Many Hispanics online are no longer buying into the "Trump is racist" media narrative, and are waving pro-Trump signs. Democratic support from Millennials has taken a nine-point plunge.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll of 16,000 millennials found that support for Democrats among this generation dropped to 46% — a nine-point plunge from 55% just two years ago. Just 39% of white millennials now say they favor Democrats. It also found that more millennials say the GOP is a better steward of the economy.
Given the millennial generation is 71 million strong and about as big as the baby boom generation, this is potentially catastrophic news for Democrats.
Making matters worse for liberals and Democrats is that every time a newly awakened member of a demographic that Democrats thought they "owned," awakens and speaks out, other liberals attack them relentlessly, try to vilify them, as the media jumps on the bandwagon and helps drive a permanent wedge between the Democratic party and those thinking differently than they are expected to.
Kanye West is a perfect example as he stated his "love" for President Trump the media instantly started declaring him mentally ill. Liberals attack Candace Owens from TPUSA, speak of conservative ideals and her time line is full of people calling her an "uncle Tom," or a coon, attacking her for daring to say anything that doesn't toe the liberal line.
There is a newly awakened wave of red across the Internet, and the patterns shown in polling is reflecting that.
While pollsters failed dismally in 2016, showing that in this new day and age, they simply haven't caught up with the changes from 2016, they are good to note patterns. For example if a series of polls show consistent movement in one direction, while we should never count on the actual "numbers" being solid, we can see the trend.
For example, even the liberal Washington Post admits that in December, Democrats held a 13 point lead over Republicans heading into the mid-terms, and over the course of five months that has dwindled to a 3.2 point lead. The pattern is showing a downward spiral. (Archive.is link to "There will be no Trump collapse")
BY THE NUMBERS
It is those demographics directly responsible for the dwindling lead Democrats had.
In 2016, 88 percent of the black vote went to Hillary Clinton. 65 percent of the Latino vote went for Clinton in 2016 as well. An average 55 percent of the millennial vote went to Clinton.
The Democratic party is suffering a significant loss from almost every demographic they traditionally counted on.
BOTTOM LINE
The loss of just a small percentage of traditional Democratic voters could be catastrophic for their whole party, and goes a long way to explaining the utter panic being seen now by the liberal media with increasingly hostile coverage as well as the rising number of outright "fake" reports.
What was hailed by the Democrats and the media as the upcoming blue wave, may have just turned red.
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