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September 8, 2022
Are You Ready To Pay $50 Per Pound For Ground Beef? Dire Warnings About Drought Related Food Supply Crisis As Prices Set To Skyrocket More Than The Majority Of Americans Can Afford
Before beginning let me reiterate that the supply crisis we are reporting on cannot be explained by incompetence or even horrid policy, it is by design. There simply is no other explanation.
On top the unprecedented amount of food manufacturing and processing plants being destroyed by "accidental" fires, leaks and in two cases planes crashing into them, bird flu, and supply shortages due to war, we are now seeing reports of the upcoming projected shortages and inflation due to the prolonged droughts right here in America.
Sometimes a visualization can say so much more than hundreds or even thousands of words can, so below is the updated drought map from U.S. Drought Monitor, along with the color guide as to the severity levels across the United States.
We'll start with the headline news about the cost of ground beef, to which the experts aka the ranchers themselves, are predicting extraordinarily high price increases.
Via Food Inflation News, a site we highly recommend readers bookmark to keep up with the latest news regarding the food supply chain, shortages and food inflation.
“If it costs $200 to feed and raise a cow in 2021 to a market value of $600, imagine what the value will have to be when 2022’s herds hit the same market seeking the same profit margin,” wrote Kelso for Z94.
He added that the economic restrictions of 2020, coupled with supply chain issues of 2021 and this year’s rapid inflation, beef producers in southwestern Oklahoma have calculated that cheap ground beef could eventually cost consumers $50 per pound.
“Even worse, while beef is the topic because Oklahoma is a beef-producing state, the same trend is happening to other raised proteins at the moment too,” wrote Kelso. “The answer won’t be ‘We’ll just switch to chicken.’ Those prices are steadily climbing too, and let’s not get depressed together thinking about bacon and pork loin.”
While that was from ranchers in Oklahoma, we are getting the same type of news from other cattle producing states, such as Oregon, cattle down 41%, New Mexico, cattle down 43%, down and Texas, cattle down 50%. (Source)
This is what will cause rapid inflation and shortages at a later date because of the time to raise them, have them processed and get the product to the consumers, leads us into the next year. That is when we will see a worse inflationary crisis than we have noted to date.
Note - The links provided in this article will be focused on the latest reports of specific predicted shortages and massive inflationary expectations. These range from meats to particular vegetables to cotton....yes cotton....which is about to affect the price of clothing and other cotton related products.
Food is always the most important, so the cotton shortage is being mentioned simply as a warning for those unaware of the issue.
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A list over at SHTF Plan, written by Michael Snyder, discusses 33 things we know about the coming food shortages. Most are related to America-related supply issues, and those are the ones we plan to focus on.
The hard red winter wheat crop in the United States this year “was the smallest since 1963”. But in 1963, there were only 182 million people living in this nation. Today, our population has grown to 329 million.
Wheat berries are used in a number of foods, but the main use discussed here is pastas and breads and other items that used flour from milled wheat berries.
This is something we have discussed before in relation to Ukraine's wheat exports being limited due to the Russia/Ukraine conflict, but now we see that America's crops are the smallest in nearly 60 years, meaning it is time for those that have been putting it off to learn to mill their own grains for flour.
Remember, once you start milling your own grain you can create almost any type of flour you want using the same process.
Since hard red wheat is the focus of the report above, we'll stick to that for now.
According to the Washington Post (Link to MSN republished article), California rice crops will be “half what it would be in a normal year”.
The USDA website tells us that "California is the main producer of medium-grain rice, growing 69-76 percent of the crop, although Arkansas grows a substantial amount of medium-grain, especially in years when California is experiencing drought."
A look at the drought map in the article above we see Arkansas is also seeing "abnormally dry/moderate drought" conditions as well.
The USDA also highlights that "Short-grain rice is almost exclusively grown in California."
#5 Year-to-date shipments of carrots in the United States are down 45 percent.
#6 Year-to-date shipments of sweet corn in the United States are down 20 percent.
#7 Year-to-date shipments of sweet potatoes in the United States are down 13 percent.
#8 Year-to-date shipments of celery in the United States are down 11 percent.
#9 Total peach production in the U.S. is down 15 percent from last year
Rather than reinvent the wheel, I am going to lift this next section off a recent piece I wrote about winter, and growing our own vegetables, indoors for those living in cold climates and outdoor/indoor for other climates.
Fruits & Veggies:
...The best bet is to get some grow bags, some lights, mulch and just grow them yourself. Potatoes are one of the easiest vegetables to grow.
Note: The grow bags can also be used to grow tomatoes, which is yet another shortage that is on the rise, according to CNet.
Tomato-based products like salsa and ketchup could be hard to find in the coming weeks, joining the list of grocery items like popcorn, Hershey candy and Sriracha sauce.
With potatoes, use a grow light, find one with an eye showing, set it under the light for a week or two and the sprouting should be enough where you can plant.
In regards to the fruit buckets and individual listings for freeze dried fruit, you may notice we choose different brands at times than we have previously linked to. Each time we do these prepping/food crisis pieces we check the prices for the best deals, and especially the delivery dates, and choose accordingly.
Every day we are seeing and hearing news of the "next" shortage or expected price spike, and while we try to keep up with them all, readers may have heard something we haven't, so please share any food-related news that concerns you, with other ANP readers.
Feel free to share resources, links, videos and tips to help each other survive not only the inflationary crisis of "now", but what the prolonged mega-drought this year, is going to cost us next year.
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