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March 6, 2022


'This Is Already A Perfect Storm' Expert Warns -  War Is Already Decimating An Already Depleted Food Supply, A Situation Which Is Rapidly Becoming Worse



By Susan Duclos - All News PipeLine

On March 5, 2022, two things occurred one right after the other which encouraged me to publish this article a few days earlier than originally planned. 

The first was running across an article at Yahoo Finance, written by Bloomberg, titled "Food Protectionism Is Spreading as Hungary Bans Grain Exports."

That article explained how  "Governments around the world are taking steps to safeguard domestic food supplies after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine roiled trade and sent prices of key staples soaring."

Hungary is banning grain exports, its agriculture minister told television channel RTL on Friday. Argentina and Turkey also made moves this week to increase their control over local products. And Moldova, albeit a small shipper, temporarily halted exports of wheat, corn and sugar from this month.

Protectionist measures -- which already picked up in recent years as the Covid-19 pandemic sparked worries about local supplies and high prices -- could spell more bad news for global food trade. The war in Ukraine has brought crop shipments from much of the crucial Black Sea region to a halt, heightening fears of shortages of grain and sunflower oil.

The piece goes to list a number of other countries taking steps to protect their local products, which include the statement, "Argentina, a major grain shipper, is creating a mechanism to guarantee wheat supplies for local millers and tame pasta prices. Top flour exporter Turkey boosted the agriculture ministry’s authority over exports of an array of goods, allowing it to make “periodical arrangements” if needed."

Abdolreza Abbassian, an independent analyst, who has tracked agriculture markets for decades, says "This is already a perfect storm."

Second Instance: After reading that, I opened an email sent to ANP by a reader with images from their local Walmart in Idaho Falls, ID. The email is dated March 5, 2022.

The first image I saw, was quite coincidental after reading the article cited above:


Reader Image: Walmart, ID - Pasta Shelf


The reader also sent images of a couple canned food sections where we could see empty spaces indicative of food shortages.

In order to grasp exactly what that means for our food supply, I looked up what products are and will continue to be affected and the list of foods made from wheat is long.

Crumpets

Flour tortillas -  just to name some everyday food items in many households.



RelatedFood prices jump 20.7% yr/yr to hit record high in Feb, U.N. agency says


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The severity of the upcoming shortages, will depend on a number of factors, two main ones being the length of the war between Russia and Ukraine, and what limitations to exports are lifted once it is over....unless it leads to world war, then the limitation question becomes moot. 

That leaves consumers with few options for short term, and long term.

• Buy whatever you can now, and if not available at your local grocers, buy online while items are still available. (The items are linked above)

• Stock up on huge bags of flour, whatever type you prefer, grab some how-to books, and learn to make your your own pastas, bread, noodles, biscuits, etc....  

Bread Baking for Beginners: The Essential Guide to Baking Kneaded Breads, No-Knead Breads, and Enriched Breads

Bread Illustrated: A Step-By-Step Guide to Achieving Bakery-Quality Results At Home 

Bread on the Table: Recipes for Making and Enjoying Europe's Most Beloved Breads

Homemade Pasta Made Simple: A Pasta Cookbook with Easy Recipes & Lessons to Make Fresh Pasta Any Night

Mastering Pasta: The Art and Practice of Handmade Pasta, Gnocchi, and Risotto

Authentic Homemade Pasta: Recipes for Mastering Cut, Shaped, Stuffed, Extruded, and Flavored Pastas

Flour search page: From pizza flour, wheat flour, rye.....and more.   

Recommended: Buy in bulk if possible. Once capable of baking your own breads and making your own pastas, that may end up being your preferred method. There is nothing like warm bread just taken out of the oven, slathered with butter or jelly.

For Baking:

Salt

Fresh and Honest Foods Dehydrated Whole Eggs 40 OZ #10 Can (94 Servings). Up to 10+ Years Shelf Life.

ReadyWise Emergency Food Supply, Freeze-Dried Powdered-Egg Bucket, Disaster Kit for Hurricane Preparedness, Camping Food, Prepper Supplies, Emergency Supplies,144 Servings, Egg

Hoosier Hill Farm Real Butter powder, 1 lb

Cooking Oils

Sugar



Bread And Pasta Machines:

Pasta Maker Deluxe Set 5 Piece Steel Machine with Spaghetti Fettuccini Roller, Angel Hair, Ravioli Noodle, Lasagnette Cutter Attachments, Includes Hand Crank, Counter Top Clamp & Cleaning Brush

CHEFLY Pasta & Ravioli Maker Set 9 Thickness Settings for Fresh Homemade Lasagna Fettuccine Spaghetti Dough Roller Press Cutter Noodle Making Machine 

Nuvantee Pasta Maker Machine,Manual Hand Press,Adjustable Thickness Settings,Noodles Maker with Washable Aluminum Alloy Rollers and Cutter, Perfect for Spaghetti,Fettuccini, Lasagna

Amazon Basics 2 Pound Non-Stick Bread Making Machine, Black

Pohl Schmitt Stainless Steel Bread Machine Bread Maker, 2LB 17-in-1, 14 Settings Incl Gluten Free & Fruit, Nut Dispenser, Nonstick Pan, 3 Loaf Sizes 3 Crust Colors, Keep Warm, and Recipes

Hamilton Beach Bread Maker Machine, Digital, Programmable, 12 Settings + Gluten Free, Dishwasher Safe Pan + Kneading Paddle, 2 lb Capacity, Black



Reader Image: Walmart, ID, canned goods


Reader Image: Walmart ID, canned goods 



An updated list from Taste Of Home on shortages being seen and expected to get worse, includes canned foods, due to a number of factors. Aluminum shortages, self-inflicted labor shortages from the lockdowns, and in many cases actual food shortages.

The empty holes found throughout the canned goods sections have become more frequent and appear to be getting bigger each time readers send in images, so get what you can, when you can.

Note: In this piece we linked to canned products, but a follow up piece will deal with learning to can, freeze dry or dehydrate what you grow, because it is time to start preparing for Spring gardening.



(Links to freeze dried foods in related ANP article) 



Canned Foods:

Wellsley Farms White Premium Chunk Chicken Breast in Water, 12.5 Ounce, 6 Count

Keystone Meats All Natural Canned Chicken, 28 Ounce by Keystone Meats


Swanson Chicken á la King Made with White and Dark Meat Chicken, 10.5 Ounce Can (Pack of 12)

Dinty Moore Beef Stew with Fresh Potatoes & Carrots 20 oz (Pack of 12)

Armour Star Classic Homestyle Beef Stew, 20 oz. (Pack of 12)

Keystone Meats All Natural Canned Beef, 28 Ounce

SAMPCO Shredded Beef 3lb.

Kirkland Signature Chicken Breast (Chicken Breast -6 Count)


Keystone Meats All Natural Canned Pork, 28 Ounce

Armour Star Roast Beef With Gravy, 12 oz.


Armour Star Banner Sausage, Easy Open Can, 10.5 oz. (Pack of 12)


Wild Planet Skipjack Wild Tuna, Sea Salt, Keto and Paleo, 3rd Party Mercury Tested, 5 Ounce (Pack of 12)


Armour Star Luncheon Meat, 12 oz. (Pack of 12)


Canned Vegetables Variety Of Options

Canned Fruits Variety Of Options



IMAGES of what differences you are seeing on the shelves of your local grocers can be sent to tips@allnewspipeline.com.



BOTTOM LINE

As we watch what happens globally affect what we see locally at our stores, on top of the already strained food supply chain, there is no way to overstate the importance of being prepared.

As I have said before, and I am sure I will again, if you are prepared for  everything you can possible be prepared for, there is no need to worry or fear because you have done all that you can.

Be safe. Be Prepared.

God Bless.





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All donations are greatly appreciated and will absolutely be used to keep us in this fight for the future of America.

Thank you and God Bless. Susan and Stefan.


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